The Afghan Shuffle
President Obama appears to be able to suffer any insult to his country, with the limitless ability to respond to sharp criticism of America with quick apologies for the faults of his countrymen. But as Robert Gibbs tells us, he is “furious” when personally criticized by a general or his staff.
Hot Air reports that Obama’s popularity rating in California, one of the most reliable of the blue states, has fallen below 50%. A floundering war in Afghanistan (still!), Guantanamo alive and kicking (still!) and his professorial attitude toward the BP oil spill have the left demoralized. Some are calling for Obama to adopt the Bush Attitude (although they use terms like “kick butt” rather than “emulate Bush”.) I think the left is too hard on Obama. Poor Barack. His only self-described management skill was running a “pretty good campaign”. He is still learning the job, and unlike Clinton, Carter, or FDR, he’s a legislator at heart. Legislators make lousy managers, and the President is Manager in Chief. Perhaps another blue ribbon commission can be formed to determine what on the job training courses we can give the boy President.
General McChrystal is out, having done the unspeakable. No, not insubordination; he agrees with his orders and has been dutifully carrying the water assigned to him. No, he didn’t directly criticize the Obama-COIN policy; he agrees with it. He’s out because he criticized the President. One thing Obama evidently has learned is that he can fire his people. At least he did it with some class, recognizing that the General is a true American hero, with the attendant courage and valor our heros exhibit. Too bad this hero criticized Obama and company.
I guess if you have to have one fault, that may be the one to have.
Richard Fernandez has a good review of the situation, including the problems facing Obama now that he has turned to another American hero, General Petraeus, to pick up the slack:
Military doctrine was probably never Obama’s strong suit. Politics was his primary concern. One of the reasons McChrystal had been selected in the first place, as Glenn Reynolds has pointed out, was that he was not General “Betray-Us”, burdened with the baggage of the Iraq Surge. But now Petraeus military talent may be more important than his political associations. The Washington Post’s description of the flurry of crisis meetings before and after McChrystal’s resignation shows the depth of the crisis into which the administration had been plunged.
In Iraq, Petraeus was able to balance the COIN strategy against military requirements, and the military personnel charged with the tasks respected and honored him. McChrystal hasn’t earned the same respect. One of the criticisms of McChrystal from the fighting men and women is the strict rules of engagement:
McChrystal has issued some of the strictest directives to avoid civilian casualties that the U.S. military has ever encountered in a war zone. It’s “insurgent math,” as he calls it – for every innocent person you kill, you create 10 new enemies. He has ordered convoys to curtail their reckless driving, put restrictions on the use of air power and severely limited night raids. He regularly apologizes to Hamid Karzai when civilians are killed, and berates commanders responsible for civilian deaths. “For a while,” says one U.S. official, “the most dangerous place to be in Afghanistan was in front of McChrystal after a ‘civ cas’ incident.” The ISAF command has even discussed ways to make not killing into something you can win an award for: There’s talk of creating a new medal for “courageous restraint,” a buzzword that’s unlikely to gain much traction in the gung-ho culture of the U.S. military.
But however strategic they may be, McChrystal’s new marching orders have caused an intense backlash among his own troops. Being told to hold their fire, soldiers complain, puts them in greater danger. “Bottom line?” says a former Special Forces operator who has spent years in Iraq and Afghanistan. “I would love to kick McChrystal in the nuts. His rules of engagement put soldiers’ lives in even greater danger. Every real soldier will tell you the same thing.” …
McChrystal may have sold President Obama on counterinsurgency, but many of his own men aren’t buying it.
It doesn’t help that the General, asking for up to 150,000 troops, was given 21,000, a politician’s idea of “compromise”. While General Petraeus may be able to pull Afghanistan back from the brink, we shouldn’t invest too much hope in the prospect: without the resources, and a time-line of about a year, the outlook is pretty grim.
Thin skin helps you peel potatoes, so perhaps Obama’s thin skin will help us win in Afghanistan. As long as General Petraeus refrains from saying bad things about him or his buddies.